Unemployment - Macroeconomics

Unemployment - Macroeconomics

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Economist first began a study of unemployment during the great depression when Maynard Keynes challenged the classicalist view that economic system left on their own will quickly return to full employment.

 


UNEMPLOYMENT is a situation in which people within the labor force and able to work are actively seeking for a job but are unable to get a job to do.  It is important to note that to be considered unemployed a person must be an active member of the labor force and in search of remunerative work.

The term "LABOR FORCE" refers to the population of an economy that is willing and able to engage in paid employment, and whose ages fit within a range that has been statutorily established. Labor Force Participation Ratio (Rate) or Labor Participation Ratio for short. This is the proportion or percentage of the adult population that is in the labor force or workforce. People who have attained the legal employment age but are currently in school, for example, are part of the adult population but not in the labor force, The labor participation ratio is calculated by dividing the number of people in the labor force by the entire adult population and multiplied by 100.

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE is the percentage of people in the labor force who are not working. Consequently, measuring the unemployment rate requires identifying who is in the labor force. The labor force includes people who are either employed or unemployed.


Also excluded in the definition are the so – called discouraged workers thus those who look for job and give up on their search in frustration.

This is also different from underemployment which constitutes the section of the labour force seeking for full-time paid employment but unfortunately, the structure of the employment permit them to work for only part-time or are employed below capacity.

It must be noted that discouraged workers and Underemployment understates the actual unemployment rate. i.e. makes the unemployment rate lower.

The underground economy overstate the actual unemployment rate i.e. makes the unemployment rate higher. The underground economy refers to economic transactions that are deemed illegal, either because the goods or services traded are unlawful in nature, or because transactions fail to comply with governmental reporting requirements. Examples include, prostitution, drugs dealing, etc.

 

 

TYPES OF UNEMPLOYMENTS

1.      Natural unemployment - Natural unemployment is the minimum unemployment rate resulting from real or voluntary economic forces. It represents the number of people unemployed due to the structure of the labor force, including those replaced by technology or those who lack the skills necessary to get hired. It can also be refer to as the rate of unemployment at full employment output.

 

2.      Cyclical unemployment - Cyclical unemployment is the impact of economic recession or expansion on the total unemployment rate (associated with the business cycle). Cyclical unemployment generally rises during recessions and falls during economic expansions and is a major focus of economic policy. An example of cyclical unemployment is when construction workers were laid off during the Great Recession following the financial crisis of 2008.

 

3.      Frictional unemployment (transitional unemployment) - is a type of short-term unemployment. Frictional unemployment happens when a person is voluntarily job searching or searching for a new career. Frictional unemployment isn't necessarily a bad thing. In fact, because frictional unemployment is voluntary, it can be a sign of a healthy economy.

 

4.      Structural and Technological Unemployment - is long-lasting unemployment that comes about due to shifts in an economy. This type of unemployment happens because, though jobs are available, there's a mismatch between what companies need and what available workers offer. For example, a given country in Agric – based activities changing to industry – based production will result in unemployment.

 

5.      Seasonal Unemployment - occurs when people are unemployed at particular times of the year when demand for labor is lower than usual. Seasonal unemployment refers to a temporary window of time where the number of available employment opportunities decreases. Examples of seasonal unemployment include: agricultural workers who are unemployed outside the growing season.

 

 

6.      Classical Unemployment - This is unemployment precipitated by the intervention of the government in the labor market through the establishment of minimum wages and causing mismatch between the vacancies available in the economy and the number of people who are willing to work at the government established wage rate. It occurs when real wages are kept above the market-clearing wage rate, leading to a surplus of labor supplied. Classical unemployment is sometimes known as real wage unemployment because it refers to real wages being too high.

 

Causes of Unemployment

a.       Technological change - If there is the development of labour saving technology in some industries, then there will be a fall in demand for some types of labour which have been replaced by machines.

 

b.      Occupational immobility - This refers to the difficulties in learning new skills applicable to a new industry, and technological change, e.g. an unemployed farmer may struggle to find work in high tech industries.

 

c.       Geographical immobility - This refers to the difficulty in moving regions to get a job, e.g. there may be jobs in London, but it could be difficult to find suitable accommodation or schooling for their children.

 

d.      Global recession - A global recession is an extended period of economic decline around the world where there are downturns in a business cycle in which demand for goods and services decreases over time. Thus, employers or producers will cut cost by laying off some employees.

 

e.       Financial crisis - A financial crisis is when financial instruments and assets decrease significantly in value. As a result, businesses have trouble meeting their financial obligations, and financial institutions lack sufficient cash or convertible assets to fund projects and meet immediate needs.

 

Some other factors that cause unemployment includes

·         Inadequate jobs

·         Low income rate

·         High interest rate, etc

 

 

Effects of Unemployment

 

1.      Loss of income - This is one of the most significant consequences of unemployment that has a direct impact not only on the individuals affected but also on the economy and society as a whole. People who are unable to find work are unable to bring in the money that they would have earned had they been working. Consider the case of a cocoa farmer whose land is purchased by a mining firm that intends to use it for gold extraction. There will be no more stable revenue for the farmer to derive from the farm in the long future.

 

2.      Loss of government revenue: Tax revenue is another area that suffers as a direct result of high unemployment rates. The cocoa industry makes a sizeable contribution to the overall tax revenue of the country. Consequently, if cocoa farms are wiped out to make room for mining operations, there will be a negative effect on the amount of money the government receives, assuming that everything else stays the same.

 

 

3.      Social costs of unemployment: There are certain costs to society associated with unemployment. People who are unemployed for an extended period of time typically experience feelings of deprivation and the impulse to violate the rules of society and engage in some social vices such as bribery, armed robbery, and scamming, amongst others. Long-term unemployment can make poverty more widespread, make income distribution more unequal, and exacerbate existing income disparities in countries. There is a correlation between rising unemployment rates and political unrest. Because it is so difficult to find work, it is possible that workers will be exploited as a result.

 

4.      Social problem: Many social evils like dishonesty, gambling and immorality etc. arise due to unemployment. It endangers law and order situation of the country. It causes social disruption in the society.

 

5.      Loss of human resources: Due to unemployment, human resources go waste. No constructive use of labor force is made. If human resources are properly used, economic growth of the country will increase.

 

6.      Reduction in National output: Unemployment will make an economy to operate inside its production possibilities curve rather than on the curve. This happens because the unemployed does not produce any output. When people are unemployed, they are unable to contribute to the national output.

 

7.      Political Instability: There is political instability in the country due to unemployment. Unemployed persons engage themselves in destructive activities. They consider Government worthless. Economic development becomes difficult under conditions of political instability.

 

Some other effects of unemployment includes,

  • ·         loss of self-esteem
  • ·         brain drain
  • ·         low standard of living
  • ·         loss of tax revenue

 

Relationship between Unemployment and GDP (Okun's law.)

The rate of unemployment and changes that occur in GDP are observed to be related. The relation that exists between unemployment rate and growth in GDP was first proposed by Arthur Okun based on his study of the

Economy of United States of America. He indicated that there is a negative relationship between quarterly changes in unemployment rates and

Quarterly changes in GDP. That is reduction in quarterly unemployment

Rates is associated with increments in GDP quarterly. On the other hand.

Increment in unemployment rates is associated with reduction in quarterly

GDP.

 The diagram below demonstrates the Okun's law.



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